With all eyes on Monday's Group 2 UBET Adelaide Cup, we take a look back at the history of past Adelaide Cup winners to try and find a winner. Using form from the last ten years, there are some definite patterns that have formed over time.
Past Adelaide Cup Winners Form Lines
Year |
Winner |
Last Run |
Race |
Track |
Distance |
2016 |
Purple Smile |
3rd |
BM 78 |
Moonee Valley |
2500 |
2015 |
Tanby |
5th |
Torney Night Cup LR |
Moonee Valley |
2500 |
2014 |
Outback Joe |
3rd |
Roy Higgins LR |
Flemington |
2600 |
2013 |
Norsqui |
4th |
Launceston Cup G3 |
Launceston |
2400 |
2012 |
Rialya |
2nd |
Lord Reims G3 |
Morphettville |
2600 |
2011 |
Muir |
3rd |
Roy Higgins LR |
Flemington |
2600 |
2010 |
Capecover |
3rd |
Lord Reims G3 |
Morphettville |
2600 |
2009 |
Zavite |
1st |
Launceston Cup G3 |
Launceston |
2400 |
2008 |
Lacey Underall |
5th |
Lord Reims G3 |
Morphettville |
2600 |
2007 |
Gallic |
3rd |
Victoria Gold Cup LR |
Caulfield |
2000 |
Last Run
No winner of the Adelaide Cup in the last ten years has finished worse than fifth in their previous run before the Cup.
There are currently 15 horses in the field for Monday’s Cup who finished in the top five in their last run.
Black Type Form
Apart from last year’s winner Purple Smile, the last nine of ten winners have come out of a Group or Listed (Black Type) Race.
Currently 15 out of the 23 horses in the field have come from a black type race, the majority out of the Group 3 Lord Reims and Listed Roy Higgins which were both run on last weekend.
Results
When we combine both above form lines, there are eight horses that tick both boxes who have run top five in a black type race. They are Chance to Dance, Master of Arts, Puccini, Mail It In, Jim’s Journey, De Little Engine, Lord Van Percy and Annus Mirabilis.
Jockey
The only jockeys in the field to have previously won the Adelaide Cup are Clare Lindop on Exalted Time in 2006 and Dean Holland on Tanby in 2015
Weight
This year there is not a large discrepancy in the weights, which should produce a really even race. Third favourite and top weight Chance to Dance will have to carry 58kg to win Monday’s edition. The last top weight to win the Adelaide Cup was Capecover in 2010 who carried only 57kg.
Barrier
Barriers 3-9 have produced seven winners of the Cup over the past ten years which is good news for the three fancied runners in the market in Chance to Dance (3) Master of Arts (6) and Annus Mirabilis (7).
The draw was less kind to our best local hopes in Mail It In (13), Jim’s Journey (18) and Tunes (20).
State of Origin
The interstate visitors have had the upper hand over the South Australians in recent years. The Lloyd Kennewell trained Rialya was the last local horse to taste victory back in 2012.
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2017 UBET Adelaide Cup Field
# |
Form |
Horse |
Trainer |
Jockey |
Barrier |
Weight |
1 |
X450x42312 |
Chance to Dance |
Robert Hickmott |
Ben Melham |
3 |
58kg |
2 |
211x444481 |
Master of Arts |
Darren Weir |
Damian Lane |
6 |
56.5kg |
3 |
X224277792 |
Puccini |
Wayne Walters |
Ms Kate Walters |
11 |
55.5kg |
4 |
1132122214 |
Mail It In |
Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas |
Clare Lindop |
13 |
55.5kg |
5 |
94517x1563 |
Jim’s Journey |
Peter F Blanch |
Dom Tourneur |
18 |
55.5kg |
6 |
8679445x24 |
De Little Engine |
Danny O'Brien |
Daniel Moor |
22 |
55.5kg |
7 |
5x67952044 |
Lord Van Percy |
Darren Weir |
Mark Zahra |
23 |
55.5kg |
8 |
721099x377 |
Mujadale |
Dane Smith |
Ms Nikita Beriman |
5 |
55.5kg |
9 |
2821292217 |
Tunes |
Grant Young |
Ms Jamie Kah |
20 |
55.5kg |
10 |
86750x7588 |
Like a Carousel |
Ken Keys |
Craig Newitt |
16 |
55.5kg |
11 |
5256x68830 |
Dandy Gent |
Terry & Karina O'Sullivan |
Dean Yendall |
15 |
55.5kg |
12 |
0x0x771135 |
Annus Mirabilis |
Stuart Webb |
Regan Bayliss |
7 |
55.5kg |
13 |
76x6532153 |
Chestnut Charlie |
Philippe Huserot |
Ms Emily Finnegan (a) |
8 |
55.5kg |
14 |
124x431431 |
Oncidium Ruler |
Michael Kent |
Luke Nolen |
14 |
55.5kg |
15 |
3423414x |
Darabad |
Robbie Laing |
Noel Callow |
1 |
55.5kg |
16 |
2x90606180 |
Double Bluff |
Robbie Laing |
Joe Bowditch |
2 |
55.5kg |
17 |
4811136x71 |
Honey Steel’s Gold |
David & B Hayes & T Dabernig |
Jake Duffy |
4 |
55.5kg |
18 |
5435323x63 |
Bayanova |
Michael Kent |
Ben Allen (a) |
21 |
55.5kg |
19 |
21x8051320 |
Exalted Lightning |
Rob Wilkinson |
Paul Gatt |
19 |
55.5kg |
20 |
5x53244521 |
Kawabata |
Jamie Edwards |
Dean Holland |
9 |
55.5kg |
21e |
X601193168 |
Anuradha |
Ryan Balfour |
Damien Thornton |
17 |
55.5kg |
22e |
39x3234547 |
Mighty Maher |
Gary Searle |
|
12 |
55.5kg |
23e |
3220x13555 |
Choysa |
Wayne Walters |
|
10 |
55.5kg |